Are Lucky Trades Completely Random?
In Pokémon Go, Lucky trades are a coveted phenomenon that many trainers strive for. However, the question remains – are Lucky trades completely random? In this article, we’ll delve into the mechanics of Lucky trades, shedding light on the probability and patterns behind this enigmatic feature.
Direct Answer
No, Lucky trades are not completely random. While the exact mechanism is not publicly disclosed, we can analyze various aspects of Lucky trades to draw conclusions. Long-term Pokémon ownership has been found to increase the likelihood of receiving a Lucky Pokémon, with having had a Pokémon for less than one year standing at 5% and having had a Pokémon for one year increasing the chances to 10%.
Long-Distance Trades
To answer the question, being close to each other (100 meters or less) is a crucial factor in determining the likelihood of a Lucky trade. This constraint suggests that proximity plays a significant role in determining the outcome of a trade. Two kinds of trades count towards the 10-trade limit: normal trades and special trades, the latter being events or exclusive circumstances.
Trading IVs
The IVs of Pokémon change after trading, which can lead to a decrease in stats. Mythical Pokémon, except Meltan, are also exempt from this mechanic. July-August 2016 Pokémon are guaranteed Lucky if the sender has been in fewer than 10 trades (as sender or recipient) where at least one party was guaranteed.
Lucky Trade Patterns
Research indicates that certain patterns and events can influence the probability of receiving a Lucky Pokémon. Trading at special events, such as Raids or Community Days, may increase the likelihood of a Lucky trade. Long-term Pokémon ownership, as mentioned earlier, is also a significant factor. The sender’s Pokémon experience and recipient’s Pokémon collection might also play a role, although this is purely speculative.
Lucky Shiny Pokémon
The good news is that it is possible for a Pokémon to be both Shiny and Lucky. However, this combination is rare and requires specific circumstances to occur.
Lucky Trade Tricks
To increase your chances of receiving a Lucky Pokémon, consider the following:
- Participate in special events: These events may have unique mechanics that favor Lucky trades.
- Maintain a diverse Pokémon collection: This may help you receive a wider range of IVs, increasing the likelihood of a Lucky trade.
- Trade with trainers who have fewer trades: Those with fewer trades are more likely to receive a Lucky Pokémon.
- Join forces with other trainers: Collaborate with fellow trainers to increase your overall trade count and potentially receive more Lucky Pokémon.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Lucky trades are not completely random. Proximity, long-term Pokémon ownership, and certain patterns and events all contribute to the likelihood of receiving a Lucky Pokémon. While there is no guaranteed way to receive a Lucky Pokémon, understanding these factors can help you increase your chances of success.