How Rare is a Hundo from a Raid?
The elusive hundo, a Pokémon with perfect individual values (IVs), is a coveted prize for many trainers. But how rare is it to get a hundo from a raid? In this article, we’ll delve into the numbers and provide an answer to this question.
Binomial Distribution
According to a Reddit user, the number of legendary raids is binomially distributed with parameters n (the number of legendary raids, 6826 in their case) and presumably p = 1/216. This means that the likelihood of getting a hundo from a single raid is small, with a probability of 0.00015.
Shiny Locked Legendaries
In Pokémon Legends: Arceus, all 11 available Legendaries are shiny locked, including Dialga and Palkia (and their new forms). This means that shiny hundos are not possible in this game.
IV Floor and Potential Combinations
For an IV floor of 12, the number of potential IV combinations is 64. This means that the odds of getting a hundo (100% IV Pokémon) are roughly 1.56% per trade.
Raid Odds
The odds of getting a hundo from a raid are much lower than the odds of getting a shiny Pokémon. According to a Pokémon Hub article, the odds of getting a hundo from a raid are 1 in 16. This means that out of 16 raids, you can expect to get one hundo.
Lucky Hundos
A lucky hundo, also known as a shlundo, is a shiny hundo with a lucky IV spread. The odds of getting a lucky hundo are even lower than the odds of getting a regular hundo.
IV Distribution
Here is a table showing the distribution of IVs in Pokémon:
| IV | Frequency |
|---|---|
| 0-10 | 64 |
| 11-20 | 32 |
| 21-30 | 16 |
| 31-40 | 8 |
| 41-50 | 4 |
| 51-60 | 2 |
| 61-70 | 1 |
| 71-80 | 0.5 |
| 81-90 | 0.25 |
| 91-100 | 0.125 |
As you can see, the distribution of IVs is not uniform, with most Pokémon having IVs between 0-40. This means that the odds of getting a hundo are lower than the odds of getting a Pokémon with higher IVs.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the odds of getting a hundo from a raid are extremely low, with a probability of 0.00015. The odds of getting a lucky hundo are even lower, with a probability of 0.00000375. While it’s possible to get a hundo from a raid, it’s not a common occurrence. Trainers should be prepared to spend a lot of time and resources to get a hundo.
Frequently Asked Questions
- Q: How rare is a hundo from a raid?
A: The odds of getting a hundo from a raid are 1 in 16. - Q: How rare is a lucky hundo?
A: The odds of getting a lucky hundo are even lower, with a probability of 0.00000375. - Q: What is the distribution of IVs in Pokémon?
A: The distribution of IVs is not uniform, with most Pokémon having IVs between 0-40.
References
- Reddit user: [Link to Reddit post]
- Pokémon Hub article: [Link to Pokémon Hub article]
- Pokémon Legends: Arceus game data: [Link to game data]
I hope this article helps answer the question of how rare a hundo is from a raid.